Instituto vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
INS
30%
28%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
INS
3 - 2
RSA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
PAR
67%
22%
12%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GBR
1 - 2
INS
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
INS
1 - 0
ATT
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 1
GBR
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ATT
3 - 0
GAF
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
DAL
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
BOC
4 - 0
GAF
85%
12%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
GAF
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |