Instituto vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 0
INS
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
INS
2 - 0
GBR
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BRO
2 - 0
INS
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
INS
1 - 0
PAR
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DAL
1 - 3
INS
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
ARG
41%
29%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
FER
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FER
4 - 0
GIM
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AND
1 - 1
FER
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FER
7 - 2
JUV
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |