Instituto vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TFE
2 - 0
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
RAF
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 2
INS
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 2
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
INS
2 - 2
SMA
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
DYJ
1 - 3
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
DYJ
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DYJ
2 - 2
CAU
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
DYJ
1 - 1
TFE
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
RAF
3 - 2
DYJ
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |