Instituto vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
INS
0 - 0
CEN
30%
27%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 3
INS
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
GLP
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
GOD
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
INS
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 1
BAN
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 1
VEL
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 1
ATT
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 0
VEL
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
3 - 0
VEL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |