Institute vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
WAR
0 - 2
LAR
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
WAR
0 - 2
LIN
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
WAR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAL
25%
24%
52%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
WAR
0 - 1
CRU
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |