Institute vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
DOL
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
LIN
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 3
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
HAR
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 3
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
WAR
74%
17%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 2
GLE
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
WAR
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |