Institute vs Queens University Belfast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 3
INS
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
INS
5 - 1
AUN
16%
22%
61%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
INS
0 - 1
QUB
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 0
INS
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KNO
0 - 2
QUB
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 1
LOU
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
QUB
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 2
DER
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
INS
0 - 1
QUB
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |