Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
INS
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
INS
4 - 0
COL
18%
23%
60%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
38%
25%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |