Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
CRU
19%
25%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
INS
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 3
GLE
45%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 2
GLE
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
63%
20%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
COL
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |