Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 1
INS
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 2
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
INS
0 - 3
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
NEW
2 - 2
LIS
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 2
GLE
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
COL
2 - 3
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
COL
3 - 2
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |