Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
INS
30%
25%
44%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 3
INS
29%
24%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
INS
0 - 1
NEW
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 3
INS
29%
24%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
4 - 1
LOU
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |