Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
BAL
0 - 0
INS
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
INS
2 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
LAR
1 - 2
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2002 |
INS
3 - 0
LIM
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
LIS
3 - 1
LIM
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ARC
1 - 4
LIS
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
LIS
3 - 0
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2002 |
LIS
0 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
LIS
0 - 1
BAL
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | -1 |