Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
LIS
1 - 1
DUN
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
LIS
1 - 2
GLE
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
CLI
2 - 0
LIS
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIS
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |