Institute vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NEW
0 - 3
INS
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
INS
4 - 3
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
INS
3 - 3
NEY
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HAR
2 - 3
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LIM
0 - 2
AUN
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ARD
1 - 1
LIM
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LIM
2 - 2
BAN
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIM
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |