Institute vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
INS
6 - 0
DRF
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 12 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
INS
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
0 - 0
INS
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 1
DUN
38%
25%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
LIM
0 - 4
LIN
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 2
LIM
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIM
1 - 2
CRU
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
5 - 0
LIM
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |