Institute vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 4
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LIM
0 - 0
CLI
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
LIM
0 - 1
LIN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIM
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |