Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
INS
2 - 4
ARD
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
INS
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
INS
0 - 0
AUN
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NEY
0 - 1
INS
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 2
STG
19%
21%
60%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 2
LAR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
LAR
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |