Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COA
1 - 1
INS
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
INS
4 - 0
DER
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 3
INS
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LAR
5 - 1
LIM
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 3
INS
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 1
LAR
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
LIS
27%
23%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |