Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
5 - 1
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 3
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
INS
0 - 0
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 1
LAR
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 3
LAR
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 1
BMF
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 3
HAR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |