Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
NEW
4 - 1
INS
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 2
INS
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
DUN
1 - 2
LAR
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 3
LOU
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
LAR
0 - 4
LIM
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
LAR
0 - 0
LIS
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |