Institute vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
INS
1 - 4
LAR
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
INS
0 - 6
CRU
5%
14%
81%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LOU
4 - 1
HAR
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
DER
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
PSN
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 2
HAR
68%
18%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
KNO
2 - 2
HAR
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |