Institute vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
INS
3 - 1
HAR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MOY
1 - 3
INS
24%
24%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 3
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
PSN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
INS
3 - 1
HAR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
DER
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
BAN
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
HAR
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |