Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 3
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
INS
4 - 2
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 3
GLE
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 0
GLE
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 0
GLE
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 2
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
COL
0 - 2
GLE
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |