Institute vs Dunmurry Recreation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
INS
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
0 - 0
INS
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |