Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
INS
4 - 0
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
DON
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
DON
2 - 1
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 3
DUN
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 3
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |