Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
CLI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 3
INS
57%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
0 - 2
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
3 - 2
COL
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |