NIFL Premiership Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 1-3
Institute vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2006 |
DON
3 - 1
INS
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
INS
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LIM
3 - 3
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2006 |
DON
3 - 1
INS
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
DON
0 - 2
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
DON
4 - 1
COA
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 0
DON
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 1
DON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |