Institute vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
33
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
AUN
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 2
INS
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DER
2 - 1
ARD
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DER
2 - 3
ARD
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 3
DER
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
DER
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |