Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
80.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
GLE
4 - 0
INS
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
INS
3 - 2
PSN
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 2
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CLI
0 - 2
CRU
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 0
WAR
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |