Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
50%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 2
INS
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
POR
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
COL
0 - 0
LIS
65%
19%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 6
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 0
COL
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
COL
4 - 1
CRU
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |