Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BAN
3 - 2
INS
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
CRU
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
DUN
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 1
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
COL
2 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
COL
2 - 0
ARC
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |