Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
66%
18%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARC
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
OMA
0 - 1
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
INS
0 - 3
LIM
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
ARC
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
66%
18%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LIM
0 - 3
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
COL
0 - 2
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |