Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 3
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
INS
1 - 1
HAR
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LIM
2 - 1
INS
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
BAN
3 - 1
GLE
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ARC
0 - 3
BAN
18%
22%
61%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ARD
0 - 0
BAN
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAL
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |