Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 3
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 5
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
AUN
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BAN
63%
20%
16%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DER
2 - 1
BAN
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEY
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |