Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
INS
0 - 2
AUN
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 4
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
BAN
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 0
HAR
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 3
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAN
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |