Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SYL
3 - 2
INS
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
NFC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
WAR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 2
INS
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 1
BAN
29%
23%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
ARD
2 - 1
BAN
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
BAN
5 - 0
COA
82%
13%
6%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 3
LCE
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 4
BAN
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |