Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
INS
57%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
LIM
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 0
BAN
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
BMF
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAN
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
LOU
59%
21%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 0
BAN
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |