NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 1-2
Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
INS
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
BAN
26%
25%
50%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
INS
0 - 2
AUN
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 4
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
BAL
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |