Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
POR
4 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
BMF
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
LIM
5 - 1
INS
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
OMA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
GLE
4 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
COA
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 2
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |