Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BMF
2 - 3
INS
41%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
INS
1 - 0
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SYL
0 - 3
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
4 - 1
INS
70%
18%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
INS
0 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
1 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
DER
4 - 2
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAN
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |