Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
BAN
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 1
INS
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
INS
4 - 3
WAR
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIM
0 - 2
INS
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
LAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 2
BAL
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
BAL
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 7
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 5
BAL
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |