Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
INS
1 - 3
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
5 - 1
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 3
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
INS
0 - 0
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 3
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 1
LAR
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 2
BAL
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 2
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |