Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
INS
3 - 3
NEY
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
INS
2 - 6
AUN
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
INS
2 - 3
ARD
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
4 - 1
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
3 - 3
NEY
42%
24%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 3
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARC
46%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 2
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |