Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
INS
0 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
INS
3 - 0
LIS
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
INS
4 - 0
KNO
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DON
1 - 4
INS
22%
22%
57%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 1
AUN
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 1
ARC
40%
24%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 2
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 0
BAL
58%
21%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARC
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |