Northern Ireland Second Division Normal Season Round 2

Institute vs Ards FC analysis

Institute Ards FC
63 ELO 64
4.9% Tilt 8.7%
2825º General ELO ranking 2562º
19º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
38.6%
Institute
24.9%
Draw
36.5%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
Institute
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.5%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Institute
Ards FC
Loughgall
Annagh United
Ballinamallard United
Armagh City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Institute
Institute
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2025
COL
Coleraine
6 - 2
Institute
INS
55%
22%
23%
62 69 7 0
26 Apr. 2025
NEW
Newry City
0 - 3
Institute
INS
23%
25%
53%
62 52 10 0
19 Apr. 2025
INS
Institute
4 - 3
Armagh City
ARC
53%
24%
23%
61 57 4 +1
12 Apr. 2025
INS
Institute
2 - 1
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
50%
24%
26%
60 56 4 +1
05 Apr. 2025
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 0
Institute
INS
35%
26%
39%
61 57 4 -1

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2025
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 5
Ards FC
ARD
13%
17%
70%
64 45 19 0
26 Apr. 2025
AUN
Annagh United
1 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
60%
22%
18%
64 73 9 0
19 Apr. 2025
DUN
Dundela
1 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
35%
24%
41%
65 60 5 -1
12 Apr. 2025
ARD
Ards FC
1 - 1
Limavady
LIM
35%
26%
40%
64 70 6 +1
05 Apr. 2025
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 5
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
37%
25%
38%
65 67 2 -1