Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
COL
6 - 2
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NEW
0 - 3
INS
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
INS
4 - 3
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KNO
0 - 5
ARD
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AUN
1 - 0
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ARD
1 - 1
LIM
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ARD
2 - 5
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |