Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
LOU
2 - 0
INS
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CRU
0 - 0
INS
61%
20%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
COL
6 - 2
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NEW
0 - 3
INS
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ARD
3 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 3
ARD
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARD
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KNO
0 - 5
ARD
13%
17%
69%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AUN
1 - 0
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |