Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
WAR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
6 - 1
INS
72%
16%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
76%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 1
GLE
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 0
ARD
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
2 - 2
CRU
4%
12%
84%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
WAR
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 1
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |