Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
COA
0 - 0
INS
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
INS
0 - 0
DON
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
DON
3 - 1
INS
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
INS
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ARD
2 - 1
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
COL
2 - 4
ARD
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ARD
1 - 3
NEW
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
LOU
2 - 3
ARD
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ARD
1 - 3
LAR
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |