Institute vs Annagh United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
55
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 2
INS
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Annagh United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
WAR
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
AUN
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
DER
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
AUN
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
AUN
23%
23%
55%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |