A-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest round 21

Ingolstadt U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Ingolstadt U19 Mainz 05 U19
19 ELO 24
-7.2% Tilt -2.7%
9288º General ELO ranking 7757º
448º Country ELO ranking 384º
ELO win probability
25.7%
Ingolstadt U19
20.5%
Draw
53.8%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
Ingolstadt U19
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.8%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ingolstadt U19
-36%
-14%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Ingolstadt U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ingolstadt U19
Ingolstadt U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
2 - 4
Ingolstadt U19
ING
84%
10%
6%
19 28 9 0
25 Feb. 2017
ING
Ingolstadt U19
2 - 2
1860 München U19
MUN
45%
22%
33%
19 18 1 0
19 Feb. 2017
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
4 - 0
Ingolstadt U19
ING
27%
21%
52%
20 14 6 -1
12 Feb. 2017
ING
Ingolstadt U19
0 - 0
Freiburg U19
FRE
42%
23%
35%
19 20 1 +1
04 Feb. 2017
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
3 - 0
Ingolstadt U19
ING
44%
22%
34%
21 20 1 -2

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 2
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
52%
23%
25%
24 23 1 0
25 Feb. 2017
NUR
Nürnberg U19
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
29%
23%
48%
24 21 3 0
19 Feb. 2017
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
0 - 1
Bayern München U19
BYM
58%
22%
20%
25 22 3 -1
11 Feb. 2017
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
2 - 5
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
49%
22%
29%
23 24 1 +2
05 Feb. 2017
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
0 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
66%
19%
15%
24 19 5 -1