England U21 vs Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ENG
3 - 2
DEU
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CZE
0 - 1
ENG
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 2
ENG
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ENG
3 - 1
PRT
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
HRV
1 - 2
ENG
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
IRL
1 - 0
AND
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 2
IRL
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
USA
1 - 0
IRL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 1
IRL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
DEU
2 - 0
IRL
78%
16%
6%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |